Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.062619 0.070831 0.079323 0.088729 0.098829 0.109317 0.121005
2025-03-09 0.045806 0.057248 0.069804 0.084467 0.100986 0.118895 0.139651
2025-03-16 0.034442 0.047390 0.062408 0.080781 0.102328 0.126502 0.155378
2025-03-23 0.029435 0.043885 0.061414 0.083638 0.110491 0.141361 0.179015
2025-03-30 0.025207 0.040592 0.060052 0.085529 0.117114 0.154182 0.200179
2025-04-06 0.022572 0.038910 0.060336 0.089143 0.125607 0.169102 0.223798
2025-04-13 0.018901 0.035280 0.057662 0.088649 0.128753 0.177412 0.239449
2025-04-20 0.017899 0.035293 0.059727 0.094206 0.139468 0.194975 0.266345
2025-04-27 0.014713 0.031602 0.056351 0.092272 0.140403 0.200329 0.278306
2025-05-04 0.013441 0.030720 0.056808 0.095411 0.147851 0.213798 0.300279
2025-05-11 0.011345 0.028186 0.054625 0.094719 0.150124 0.220661 0.314037
2025-05-18 0.010388 0.027470 0.055063 0.097643 0.157185 0.233630 0.335479
2025-05-25 0.009376 0.026657 0.055490 0.100846 0.165095 0.248334 0.359994
2025-06-01 0.007231 0.023334 0.051708 0.097761 0.164356 0.251865 0.370504
2025-06-08 0.005382 0.020145 0.047794 0.094195 0.162737 0.254114 0.379319
2025-06-15 0.004835 0.019683 0.048425 0.097510 0.170810 0.269245 0.404835
2025-06-22 0.004198 0.018859 0.048333 0.099650 0.177201 0.282164 0.427572
2025-06-29 0.003861 0.018713 0.049424 0.103653 0.186307 0.298802 0.455271
2025-07-06 0.003070 0.017141 0.047741 0.103113 0.188750 0.306411 0.471174
2025-07-13 0.003034 0.017715 0.050137 0.109237 0.201033 0.327506 0.504956
2025-07-20 0.002264 0.015817 0.047587 0.107109 0.201043 0.331778 0.516525
2025-07-27 0.002045 0.015630 0.048394 0.110563 0.209388 0.347560 0.543439
2025-08-03 0.001565 0.014311 0.046763 0.109803 0.211340 0.354478 0.558567